Groundhogs day 2018 video

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Groundhog Day 2021 Forecast: Will Punxsutawney Phil See His Shadow?

  • Punxsutawney Phil will predict whether there will be six more weeks of winter on Tuesday.
  • The groundhog's predictions are not very accurate.


Groundhog Day is this Tuesday, and Punxsutawney Phil will reveal whether he thinks there will be an early spring or six more weeks of winter.

Phil will climb up out of his burrow during the rough midway point of astronomical winter at 7:25 a.m. ET Tuesday to see what he can see, or not see. Weather conditions can play a role in his verdict.

According to the legend, if the groundhog sees his shadow, then there will be six more weeks of winter. But if he doesn't, then an early spring and above-average temperatures are on the way.

All of this begs the questions: What will Phil see? And how accurate are his predictions?

Answers: We've a more scientific opinion than Phil, and not very.

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Of course, even the organizers of the annual Groundhog Day event in western Pennsylvania acknowledge that turning to a large rodent for weather forecasting is mostly a way to break up winter monotony. This year's event will be different since no attendees or guests are allowed due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Forecast Will Determine What Phil Sees

Winter Storm Orlena will still be impacting the Northeast when Phil makes his verdict on Tuesday morning.

Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, is expected to have lingering cloud cover, gusty winds and possibly even snow showers. The temperature will be cold in the mid-20s with wind chill values in the teens.

If the forecast for cloudy conditions persists, then Phil would be favored to not see his shadow this year.


How Accurate Is Punxsutawney Phil?

Overall, the groundhog is not very accurate, and NOAA said Punxsutawney Phil has "no predictive skill."

Based on data from 1887 to 2020, Punxsutawney Phil is more likely to see his shadow. Phil has seen his shadow 104 times, with no shadow 20 times (ten years of data is missing).

(MORE: How Much Snow and Cold is Typical After Groundhog Day?)

Phil did not see his shadow for the second consecutive year in 2020. His forecast for an early spring came true with temperatures across the continental United States as a whole above average in February and much above average in March.

That ended a three-year stretch where Phil was off the mark.

He did not see his shadow in 2019, but February and March were colder than average, hardly an early spring.

Prolonged winter conditions should have occurred when Phil saw his shadow in 2017 and 2018. Instead, February and March had above average temperatures in both years.

The first mention of Groundhog Day came in 1886 in Punxsutawney. Over the years, several other locations have begun using their own groundhog, including General Beauregard Lee of Atlanta, Dunkirk Dave of Dunkirk, New York, and Jimmy of Sun Prairie, Wisconsin.

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.


Wiarton Willie calls for early spring as prediction takes on new format

LONDON, ONT. -- It is official. 'Willie' didn’t see his shadow and therefore predicts that spring will arrive early this year.

Willie’s prediction was done in a unique way for the 65th anniversary of the annual tradition due to COVID-19.

A video featuring Willie's history was supplied to local media and included Mayor Janice Jackson revealing the official prediction.

In the video, Willie’s place is taken by a hat for comedic effect, but Jackson tells us that Willie did not see his shadow and so it will be an early spring.

The annual in-person festivities did not take place this year, but the Town of South Bruce encouraged the public to tune in online for the 65th annual prediction.

The video included messages from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Ontario Premier Doug Ford.

Last year there was some confusion around Willie’s prediction when Jackson misinterpreted his forecast and declared six more weeks of winter.

Hat toss has historic links

The gesture of throwing a hat isn’t an insignificant gesture. It’s a nod to the festival's origin in 1956 when Wiarton resident Mac Mckenzie threw a hat to the ground and made the proclamation to a Toronto newspaper reporter. McKenzie would go on to be apart of the festival well into his 80s

“We wanted to do something that paid tribute to the history of Wiarton Willie,” says Jackson.

The folklore actually goes back even further, and identifies a different species as Canada’s first weather prognosticating animal.

“Bears seemed to be the animal of choice throughout the 19th century,” says Alan MacEachern, a history professor at Western University. He says the tradition followed settlers from Europe for a very specific and important reason.

“Feb. 2 is halfway between the first day of winter and the last day of winter, or first day of spring. A few hundred years ago you’d want to make sure, in the middle of winter, you had enough food laid by to last the rest of the year.”

MacEachern says early settlers would gauge what was coming by the patterns of hibernating animals like bears or foxes - if they came out to look for food it meant spring would be early.

But Canada's neighbours to the south favoured the groundhog and even formally gave the date its now signature name, which made for a confusing time for Canadians.

“Canadians knew that traditionally it had been the bear, but they also knew that it was becoming known as Groundhog Day, so they would say things like, ‘It’s Groundhog day, I wonder if the bear saw its shadow?’"

By the 1930s the bear had fallen out of the tradition, but three years ago in Milwaukee a zoo that had just lost its favourite groundhog to old age revived the bear tradition for one year.

But don’t expect Willie to be replaced after a one-year hiatus. Jackson says plans are already underway for his triumphant return next February.

“It was really unfortunate that we lost the event this year, but next year we’ll come back twice as strong.”


view larger image
  • Wiarton Willie

    The famous albino groundhog will make his prediction bright and early Saturday morning.

  • Willie Statue

    Willie Statue in Wiarton, Ont.

  • Wiarton Willie

    Wiarton mayor Janice Jackson interacts with Wiarton Willie in Wiarton, Ont., on Friday, Feb.2, 2018. Wiarton Willie predicted six more weeks of winter. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Hannah Yoon

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Groundhog Day 2018: Punxsutawney Phil sees shadow, six more weeks of winter

The famous groundhog spotted his shadow, forecasting six more weeks of winter.


February 2, 2018, 6:05 PM

• 4 min read

— -- Bundle up! Punxsutawney Phil, the world-famous groundhog, emerged from his burrow in western Pennsylvania and saw his shadow Friday morning, predicting another six weeks of winter.

As the sun rose at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsatawney, Pennsylvania, the groundhog's handlers -- known as the "Inner Circle" -- coaxed him out of his hole to issue his forecast just before 7:25 a.m. Eastern Time. Spectators, seemingly unfazed by the bitter cold, watched and danced to music as the handlers announced Phil's prediction.

Since 1887, Phil has predicted more winter 104 times, including this year. He has forecast an early spring just 18 times, when his shadow has eluded him, according to records.

Ten years of Phil's predictions are missing from the record.

Phil's Canadian counterpart, an albino groundhog named Wiarton Willie, also spotted his shadow Friday morning.

But Phil's groundhog rival, Staten Island Chuck, did not see his shadow, predicting an early spring.

Pierre C. Shadeaux, perhaps Phil's far distant rodent cousin, also did not see his shadow in New Iberia, Louisiana, forecasting an early and longer spring for locals.

Although dubbed the Cajun groundhog, Shadeaux is a nutria, a large rodent from South America that’s now an invasive species in Louisiana’s bayous.

Whether you trust the weather forecasts of furry rodents, the National Weather Service suggests February will have colder than normal temperatures in the northern and northeastern United States, with abnormally warm weather in the West.

ABC News' Kevin Kraus contributed to this report.

ABC News

Groundhog Day Videos

Groundhog Day Videos for Kids - Teacher approved list of videos for preschool, kindergarten, and first grade.

Groundhog Day is just around the corner.  So here are some Groundhog Day Videos you can show with your class that are quick and meaningful!

These groundhog day videos have been watched and are kindergarten approved!

This article works well with these Simply Kinder resources:

2021 Groundhog Day Virtual Ceremony (12:06)

The 2021 virtual ceremony. Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow or no? Will it be cold still or is summer coming? Watch to find out. At 5:00 is when the actual groundhog comes out and the prediction is made several minutes after.

2018 Groundhog Ceremony (21:44)

Watch full coverage of the ceremony for Punxsutawney Phil!  This is a high energy party to find out if he sees his shadow! (Fast forward to 9:43 if you want the start of the ceremony itself and 13:00 if you want to see just the groundhog coming out). This is such a fun video to what in it’s entirety!

I’m A Little Groundhog Day Song (1:04)

This is a quick song/rhyme you can do with your students about what happens if the groundhog sees his shadow.

Groundhogs (2:57)

This video is loaded with facts.  So many things, your students will each walk away with something they did not know!

Fun Facts About Groundhogs! (3:44)

WOW!  This video is FULL of useful facts and great photos and videos!  You will learn about how your teeth are like groundhogs, what they eat, and how they go to the bathroom. Kids will love this.

Groundhog Day

 -This video is of different groundhogs in their natural environments. Your students will love because it’s a close-up view!  The video is set to music and contains no words.

Punxsutawney Phil Predicts Longer Winter (1:33)

 Let your kids get a peek into the actual ceremony of this famous groundhog.  This video is a quick peek at what happens that will excite your kiddos.

It’s Groundhog Day (2:19)

This is a great video from Jack Hartman that will teach your students about the groundhog. They will definitely learn how to say Punxsutawney during this song.

Peep and the Big Wide World: Bringing Spring (8:50)

Just going to be honest, this video is a little slow to watch but it does have educational value and so it is worth showing to your kids.  But, it talks about shadows and the transition from winter to spring and so it does have value to show your kids.

The Groundhog Day Song (2:28)

This is just a fun little song about the sun being out and wanting the groundhog to come out and play.

Do you have any Groundhog Day videos you love to watch?

Groundhog Day is a just a silly holiday that is so fun to celebrate in kindergarten, preschool, and first grade!  The idea of a groundhog picking the season is just silly.  We want to help you celebrate with this fun and  Free Groundhog Day hat!

Have you downloaded our free hat yet?  Click here for the details on how to get this hat free!

Groundhog Day Videos for Kids - Teacher approved list of videos for preschool, kindergarten, and first grade.

Related Articles:  Tips for a Stress Free Valentines Day and Candy Heart Science.


Video 2018 groundhogs day

Groundhog Day 2018 video: Watch Punxsutawney Phil's prediction IN FULL

Groundhog Day: Punxsutawney Phil predicts more winter

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Groundhog Day 2018 - Punxsutawney Phil made his prediction today after he was lured from his burrow to mark the 130-year-old event. 

The rodent left his home around 7:25am ET, to announce his prediction. 

Punxsutawney Phil predicted six more weeks of winter because he saw his shadow.

The Groundhog Day website explains: “After Phil emerges from his burrow on February 2, he speaks to the Groundhog Club president in ‘Groundhogese'(a language only understood by the current president of the Inner Circle). 


Groundhog Day 2018 - Watch Punxsutawney Phil in full - Did he see his shadow?


“His proclamation is then translated for the world.”

The custom dictates that if a groundhog emerges from its hole at the end of hibernation and sees its shadow against the sunny weather, it will retreat back to its den. This means winter will last a further six weeks.

But if there are cloudy skies when the groundhog, a rodent from the marmota squirrel family, comes above ground then the spring season will arrive early. 

The event is celebrated annually in the US and Canada on February 2 and this year marks the 132nd Groundhog Day in Pennsylvania.

Groundhog Day is marked officially in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, with a groundhog named Punxsutawney Phil who lives on a small hill in the nearby town of Gobbler’s Knob.

While observed in many parts of the USA, Groundhog Day is not a public holiday but the event attracts widespread attention from fans.

Excited crowds gather ahead of 2018 Groundhog prediction

Thousands of people have attended the event over the years and the state’s governor has even joined the celebrations in the past.

The first Groundhog Day was celebrated officially at Gobler’s Knob, Punxsutawney on February 2, 1887.

A local newspaper editor, Clymer Freas, came up with the idea after saying that Phil was America’s official groundhog meteorologist. But, Phil is only right about 20 percent of the time.

Staten Island groundhog Chuck predicts SPRING

The tradition is believed to have started in Europe as Candlemas Day, a Christian holiday featuring candles. 

The candles represented how long and cold the winter would be and Germans reportedly expanded the concept by selecting an animal to predict the winter. 

When Germans settled in Pennsylvania they brought the tradition to America.

Punxsutawney Phil 2018 - Groundhog Day 2018

He threw off his pants, exposing his pumped-up legs and a protruding member. - She wants tough today, - I told him before the meeting. - I endured it for a whole week. Angry like a dog. And he fucked her in a well oiled ass so that Yulenka, who is always silent, squealed strangely.

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And he came. Strong, exhausting, but so desirable. The girl opened her mouth wide, gulping air greedily, and wanted to scream, but instead of a cry, only a hoarse moan escaped from her chest.

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